Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.495677 0.548502 0.605381 0.671305 0.745771 0.827463 0.924113
2025-07-27 0.413810 0.487155 0.572052 0.678146 0.807957 0.962601 1.162249
2025-08-03 0.365406 0.448219 0.548836 0.681204 0.852416 1.068661 1.366069
2025-08-10 0.332224 0.421139 0.533470 0.687581 0.896300 1.173190 1.575166
2025-08-17 0.298128 0.388121 0.505486 0.672168 0.906734 1.231081 1.724263
2025-08-24 0.278664 0.371797 0.496886 0.680373 0.948108 1.333265 1.945739
2025-08-31 0.258296 0.352021 0.481172 0.676063 0.969698 1.407336 2.132066
2025-09-07 0.242993 0.337769 0.471524 0.678815 1.000771 1.497156 2.352090
2025-09-14 0.226057 0.319691 0.454629 0.668731 1.010381 1.553390 2.522534
2025-09-21 0.211987 0.304667 0.440879 0.661861 1.023678 1.615758 2.709577
2025-09-28 0.194887 0.283890 0.416869 0.636687 1.004540 1.621688 2.796254
2025-10-05 0.187994 0.278114 0.415338 0.647146 1.045048 1.732418 3.087542
2025-10-12 0.180674 0.271349 0.412001 0.654730 1.082018 1.842047 3.394682
2025-10-19 0.173776 0.264797 0.408532 0.661770 1.118660 1.955040 3.725100
2025-10-26 0.166658 0.257386 0.403058 0.664728 1.147887 2.056796 4.046557
2025-11-02 0.160741 0.251525 0.399677 0.670925 1.183390 2.174009 4.417845
2025-11-09 0.151471 0.239539 0.385164 0.655947 1.177212 2.207642 4.608622
2025-11-16 0.146891 0.235156 0.383348 0.663921 1.216017 2.336556 5.036802
2025-11-23 0.140628 0.227528 0.375372 0.659731 1.230159 2.415191 5.357752
2025-11-30 0.135901 0.222274 0.371230 0.662406 1.258261 2.526505 5.776380
2025-12-07 0.129601 0.213926 0.361035 0.652606 1.259552 2.578719 6.052924
2025-12-14 0.124179 0.206854 0.352747 0.645929 1.266779 2.644952 6.377014
2025-12-21 0.116597 0.195555 0.336091 0.621459 1.233640 2.614528 6.434383